Heritage Financial Stock Performance

HFWA Stock  USD 28.09  0.36  1.30%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Heritage Financial holds a performance score of 17. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.04, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Heritage Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Heritage Financial is expected to follow. Please check Heritage Financial's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Heritage Financial's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Financial are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, Heritage Financial sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.3
Five Day Return
0.11
Year To Date Return
18.52
Ten Year Return
62.84
All Time Return
134.28
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0342
Payout Ratio
0.4465
Last Split Factor
21:20
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Dividend Date
2026-02-11
 
Heritage Financial dividend paid on 19th of November 2025
11/19/2025
1
Talking Heads Are Missing Labor Market Strength Heritage Chief Economist
01/13/2026
2
Community Heritage Financial, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Dividend
01/20/2026
3
Heritage Financial Price Target Raised to 30.00
01/29/2026
4
American Riviera Bancorp Appoints Two New Directors
02/02/2026
5
Disposition of 1800 shares by Rivera Frederick B of Heritage Financial at 26.3053 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
6
Heritage Financial Director Frederick Rivera Sells 1,800 Shares of Stock
02/04/2026
7
Acquisition by Rivera Frederick B of 2218 shares of Heritage Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
8
One of Scotlands most popular guitar retailers set to return under new ownership
02/09/2026
 
Heritage Financial dividend paid on 11th of February 2026
02/11/2026
10
Steak n Shakes latest announcement causes confusion among fans
02/12/2026
11
Ive spent two months testing the Oura Ring 3 and its genuinely still one of the best ways to gain insight into your nights sleep especially thanks to this price...
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow225 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-85.9 M

Heritage Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,127  in Heritage Financial on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  682.00  from holding Heritage Financial or generate 32.06% return on investment over 90 days. Heritage Financial is currently generating 0.4716% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.1273% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Heritage, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Heritage Financial is expected to generate 2.78 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Heritage Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Heritage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.09 90 days 28.09 
roughly 2.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heritage Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.43 (This Heritage Financial probability density function shows the probability of Heritage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually indicates Heritage Financial market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Heritage Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Heritage Financial has an alpha of 0.3075, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Heritage Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Heritage Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heritage Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Heritage Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2128.3430.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2831.5833.71
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.8931.7535.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.550.570.59
Details

Heritage Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heritage Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heritage Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heritage Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heritage Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Heritage Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heritage Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heritage Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 11th of February 2026 Heritage Financial paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from techradar.com: Ive spent two months testing the Oura Ring 3 and its genuinely still one of the best ways to gain insight into your nights sleep especially thanks to this price cut

Heritage Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Heritage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Heritage Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heritage Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments660.1 M

Heritage Financial Fundamentals Growth

Heritage Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Heritage Financial, and Heritage Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Heritage Stock performance.

About Heritage Financial Performance

By analyzing Heritage Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Heritage Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Heritage Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Heritage Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.09 

Things to note about Heritage Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Heritage Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Heritage Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 11th of February 2026 Heritage Financial paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from techradar.com: Ive spent two months testing the Oura Ring 3 and its genuinely still one of the best ways to gain insight into your nights sleep especially thanks to this price cut
Evaluating Heritage Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Heritage Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Heritage Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Heritage Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Heritage Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Heritage Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Heritage Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Heritage Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Heritage Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Heritage Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Heritage Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Heritage Stock analysis

When running Heritage Financial's price analysis, check to measure Heritage Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heritage Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Heritage Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heritage Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heritage Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heritage Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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